Lets take a look at the rest of the card before we get to the big fight of the night.
Non-Televised BoutsRyan Thomas vs. Matt BrownI gotta go with Thomas in this fight, he is an up and comer with
alot of talent. I think he can control this fight with his wrestling and overall ground game. Brown has a significant advantage standing, but I don't think he can avoid this fight going to the floor.-
Thomas by decision.
Alvin Robinson vs. Mark BocekLove this fight, it has the potential to be the fight of the night, but I see Robinson as having better overall skills. He should be able to control the stand-up and avoid
Bocek's take downs and submission attempts.-
Robinson by TKO.
Jorge Gurgel vs. Aaron RileyWe all hear in every
Gurgel fight how fantastic his
Jiu-
Jitsu is, but we rarely ever get to see it.
Gurgel is the type of fighter that wants to put on a good show and actually winning the fight takes a back seat. This should be a brawl as both fighters have great chins and like to press the action, but if
Gurgel decides to stand with Riley(I think he will) he will be in trouble as Riley has some heavy hands. I just can't pick
Gurgel because he's showed many times that he will fight away from his own strengths.-
Riley by DecisionJeremy Stephens vs. Rafael dos AnjosIf
Anjos can't get this fight to the mat, he's
gettin knocked out. Stephens is a
phenomenal striker and I think he gets the stoppage after avoiding some early
take down attempts.-
Stephens by KOTelevised CardDustin Hazelett vs. Tamdan McCroryAnother fight that should be extremely entertaining.
Hazelett has the type of potential that could make him a champion one day, but
McCrory has that same potential. I think this fight is a toss-up, but ultimately I like
Hazelett to pull off another entertaining submission.-
Hazelett by SubmissionGabriel Gonzaga vs. Josh HendricksHendricks makes his
UFC debut and
Gonzaga is coming off a win against Justin
McCully. I don't know much about Hendricks, but I do know that if he has the
cardio to take
Gonzaga into the third round he has a chance.
Gonzaga has shown suspect
cardio in his losses against Couture and
Werdum. That being said, I'm still picking
Gonzaga to finish this fight early.-
Gonzaga by TKO
Demian Maia vs. Nathan QuarryMaia's
Jiu-
Jitsu is on another level compared to most fighters in the world, on the other hand his stand-up is sub-par to say the least. Quarry ran a track meet in his last fight with
Kalib Starnes, so his
cardio should be tremendous! Anyways, I think Quarry stays out of the sub and uses the Dan Henderson vs.
Rousimar Palhares strategy.-
Quarry by DecisionKenny Florian vs. Joe StevensonKen-Flo is one of those fighters that gets better every time we see him. The only real advantage I can see for Stevenson in this fight is maybe he's a little better wrestler than Florian. Other than that I see Florian dominating this fight from start to finish with superior striking and even better
Jiu-
Jitsu than the recently
anointed black belt, Stevenson. edit.-
Florian by TKORandy Couture vs. Brock LesnarI hear many, many people talking about how great an athlete Brock
Lesnar is. I'm sorry, but I disagree strongly with anyone that
anoints Lesnar as a "great athlete". He has done nothing to earn a title like that. If you watched "
UFC 91 Countdown" you no doubt saw the story about
Lesnar's quest to play for the Minnesota Vikings. In the piece his trainers say that he had better numbers in the 40 and bench(not a
suprise) than Houston Texans' number one overall choice Mario Williams. His trainers also go on to say that he has the talent to play in the NFL, even though the Vikings cut him. Forgive me for being highly skeptical of that whole situation and I don't know the whole story, but if he truly had the talent to play in the NFL
that's where he would be(its not like the NFL is picky about who they let in.) and to insinuate that he is as good an athlete as Mario Williams is, is absolutely ridiculous.
He moves fast for a big man and he's a great wrestler and that gives him a chance in this fight, but I just have a problem with calling the guy a great athlete. When you think of a great athlete in terms of an
MMA fighter, among other things, you have to think of overall
skill set, heart, chin and endurance. Three things that we have no idea of when it comes to Brock
Lesnar. You know who is a great athlete? Randy Couture.
Couture has been the underdog many times and he has risen to the occasion to prove all the critics wrong in the past. I think he pulls it off again here against an inexperienced fighter. Couture will pull out all the old
MMA tricks to
consistently frustrate the big man. I think dirty boxing will be a huge factor in this fight for Couture in the stand-up. Of course in the highly likely scenario that Couture does end up on his back, I suspect he has a few
suprises for Brock either scrambling or submission attempts. I'm picking Couture to end this fight late in the third round after
Lesnar realizes that he is outgunned in
skill set and fighting intelligence.-
Couture by TKO Late in the Third Round.